Most voters ready to accept election results, but doubt Trump will: Poll

Despite constant claims electoral fraud and the former president’s mismanagement of ballots Donald Trump and its allies, in a new ABC News/Ipsos poll, 86% of registered voters say they are personally prepared to accept the result of the 2024 presidential election. choice considered justified, regardless of which candidate wins.

Two-thirds, however, believe that Trump is not ready to accept the outcome of the negotiations as legitimate. Less than half, 30%, say the same about Vice President Kamala Harris.

The public’s willingness to accept the result is essentially unchanged since August, up from 79% in October 2020. Seven in 10 registered voters also express confidence that votes will be counted accurately, which has changed little since the 2022 midterms.

At the same time, concerns about the electoral process raise concerns for a minority of voters, especially Trump supporters. Overall, 31% of respondents say they have little or no confidence that votes will be counted correctly, rising to 54% of those who support Trump in the election. Only 6% of Harris supporters do not trust these calculations.

Full results can be found in the PDF file.

Nevertheless, even among Trump supporters, 81% say they are willing to accept the election results as legitimate. In this survey, prepared for ABC by Langer’s research collaborators with field work according to Ipsos.

It’s worth noting that 69% of people who are unsure about the vote count say they are willing to accept the result anyway. The situation is similar – 70% – only among Trump supporters who do not trust the count.

How reported on Friday33% of registered voters – including 66% of Trump supporters – support Trump’s false claims that the president Joe Biden did not legitimately win in 2020. These views are largely tied to confidence in voter counts: 90% of voters who say Biden won the election legally express confidence that votes will be counted accurately this election cycle. compared to 30% of voters who say Biden did not win legally.

Still, most say they will accept this year’s result regardless of their view of the 2020 race. Among those who don’t think Biden won legitimately, 72% say they are willing to accept this year’s result. Among those who say Biden actually won legally, the figure is 93%.

Trump said he was willing to accept the result “if everything is honest,” while also expressing concerns about the electoral process. For its part, Harris’ campaign says she will preside over the certification of the election as vice president, regardless of who wins.

Harris’s supporters are particularly skeptical that Trump will accept the election results as legitimate; 94% think they are not prepared for it. In contrast, about six in 10 Trump supporters (59%) think he will accept the outcome; 36% think not.

On the other hand, almost all of Harris’s supporters (97%) believe she is ready to accept the election results. Far fewer Trump supporters, 40%, say the same about her.

Adherence

Willingness to accept the election results crosses political party affiliation and ranges from 91% of Democrats and 88% of independents to 81% of Republicans.

While willingness to accept the election results is bipartisan, concerns about the electoral process are more divided. Ninety-three percent of Democrats are confident that votes in the presidential election will be counted accurately, compared to 68% of independents and just 51% of Republicans.

Acceptance of the 2020 election results also varies significantly by party affiliation. Sixty-five percent of Republicans believe Biden did not legitimately win the election, compared with 29% of independents and just 3% of Democrats.

Methodology

The ABC News/Ipsos poll was conducted online via the probability-based Ipsos KnowledgePanel October 18-22, 2024, in English and Spanish among a random nationwide sample of 2,808 adults, including 2,392 registered voters. The partisan split among all respondents is 29%-29%-30%, Democrat-Republican-independent, and among registered voters 32%-32%-29%. The results have a margin sampling error plus or minus 2 percentage points, taking into account the design effect, for both the full sample and registered voters. Sampling error is not the only source of variation in polls.

The survey was prepared for ABC News by: Langer’s research collaboratorswith Ipsos sampling and data collection. See details of ABC News’ research methodology Here.