Here’s who leads in the most important electoral battlegrounds in 2024

Midnight Karolina: Harris leads 48%-47% by weight CNN/SSRS study released Thursday (4.5-point margin of error), a difference from several other polls this week that show Trump ahead, including Fox News poll that puts it at 49%-47% (or 50%-49% without third parties), while in polls published last week by A study of cooperative elections, Marist AND Emerson College. FiveThirty Eight average shows Trump with a 1.2-point lead.

Georgia: Trump has a 48-47% lead on Thursday. CNN/SSRS poll (margin of error 4.7), and in last week’s CES survey increased by a significant 51%-46% (2,663 respondents) and 49.9%-48.4% Bloomberg pollalthough in Marist they are tied at 49%. vote (3.9 margin of error) and the Washington Post-Schar vote (4.5 margin of error) found Harris ahead 51%-47%. Trump leads by 1.8 points in FiveThirtyEight poll average.

Pennsylvania: It couldn’t be closer – the candidates’ tie is 48%. Fox News AND CNN/SSRS polls published on Wednesday and are 49%-49%. CBS/YouGov Polland while Trump is up 47-46% over the year Quinnipiac poll and 50%-49% if Fox News eliminates third parties, Harris has a 49%-48% advantage in a large A study of cooperative elections survey (3,685 respondents). Monmouth found Trump gained 47-46% among all registered voters, but Harris leads by 48-47% among those voting in most elections. Overall, Trump leads Harris by 0.4 points in FiveThirtyEight’s poll average.

Michigan: Trump has a rare advantage wa Washington Post poll. released Thursday that shows his gain at 47-45%, although three other polls this week show Harris with an advantage, including Fox News poll which showed it increased by 48–46% (although the tie is 49% in the absence of third parties), 51–46% in the CES survey (2,336 respondents) and 48–43% in CNN/SSRS poll— while Trump leads 49-48% in Emerson’s study released on Tuesday (margin of error 3 points). Harris is 1.1 points ahead of Michigan at FiveThirtyEight’s poll average.

Wisconsin: Harris leads Trump 50-47% in CES poll (1,542 respondents), 51-45% in CNN/SSRS poll and 50%-49% wt Marquette Pollwhile Trump rose 49% to 48% for Emerson questionnaire and both candidates are tied at 48% in Quinnipiac vote. Harris has a 0.7-point lead in FiveThirtyEight’s average.

Nevada: Harris leads Trump at CES 51-47%. questionnaire (933 respondents), while Trump has a 48-47% lead on CNN/SSRS questionnaire published on Tuesday (margin of error 4.6 points), and Harris rose 48.8-48.3% y/y Bloomberg poll will be released on October 23 (margin of error 5). Harris has a 0.1-point lead in FiveThirtyEight’s poll average.

Arizona: Trump gained 51%-47% in CES poll (2,066 respondents) and leads by 50%-49% in Marist vote released on October 24 (margin of error 3.7) and 49%-46% in the Washington Post-Schar School poll (margin of error 5), while Harris leads 48%-47% in this week’s CNN/SSRS poll (margin of error 4.4 ). Trump gains 2.2 points in FiveThirtyEight’s ratings poll average.