Mavericks vs Hawks Predictions, picks and odds for today’s NBA game

The Dallas Mavericks have won four of their last five, including two without Luka Doncic, and the team will look to bounce back from Sunday’s loss as they travel to play the Atlanta Hawks.

My predictions for Mavericks vs. The Hawks are factoring in the high point totals that can be achieved when two strong Atlanta offenses collide. Read mine NBA picks to see why you should take control tonight.

Mavericks vs Hawks prediction

My best bet
Over 237.5 (-110 at bet365)

My analysis
This Dallas Mavericks the defense has been solid this season, allowing the ninth fewest points per game overall.

The home-court divisions are especially evident when breaking down the Mavs’ efforts on that side of the ball. Dallas allowed just 103.9 points per game at home, fourth-most. On the road, the Mavs lost 118.4 points, which gives them seventh place in the table. The Mavs have given up the 12th-most points in their last three games.

Meanwhile, this Atlanta Hawks the defense was far from elite, giving their opponents third place with a score of 120.5. Both teams are great in scoring the basketball, as Dallas ranks ninth with 116.2 points per game and Atlanta ranks 10th with 115.4.

Dallas will be without Luka Doncic today, but it has no impact on the selection. Over the last three games, the Mavs are averaging 120 points per game with Doncic on the bench.

The season’s trends make this choice a hit. This season, the Hawks have a 6-2 advantage at home, including 4-1 as the home favorite. Dallas is 6-2 to Over as a road team, including 6-0 as a road dog. I expect Dallas’ offense to perform well against Atlanta, and the Mavs’ long-range shooters will benefit from a particularly weak perimeter defense.

Mavericks vs Hawks deal in the same game

Over 237.5

Double-double by Trae Young

Klay Thompson Over 3.5 threes

Trae Young leads the league in assists and is averaging 22.1 points and 11.7 dimes in 15 games. He had a double-double in 11 of 15 games and had done so in two straight heading into Monday’s game against Dallas.

Starting in the 2021-22 season, Young has averaged 21.6 points and 12 assists in five contests with the Mavericks, recording a double-double in each of them. I win the match with a total of 237.5 points, so I expect a lot of goals. That means plenty of assists for Young, who should cash in on this prop with ease.

Klay Thompson has taken a step back as a three-point shooter, making 2.9 per game after averaging 3.5 per game over the last eight seasons. He has made more than four triples in seven of his 17 games this season, but the Hawks have been quite vulnerable to opposing scorers.

The Hawks made the third-highest three-point percentage to their opponents, and I expect Klay to take full advantage of that advantage, especially with Doncic sidelined. In his last five games with Atlanta, Thompson has averaged 5.6 triples and won the over three times.

Learn how to place bets on the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

Mavericks vs Hawks odds

Mavericks vs Hawks live scores

Mavericks vs Hawks opening odds

• Proliferation: Dallas +3.5 | Atlanta -3.5
• Money line: Dallas +125 | Atlanta -150
• Over/Under: Over 237.5 | Below 237.5

Courses courtesy of bet365.

Mavericks vs Hawks spread and over/under analysis

• Dallas won four straight before falling to the Heat in overtime on Sunday. The team is 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
• Atlanta won and appeared in just one of four games on its final trip, falling to 7-10 straight and 6-11 ATS on the season.
• The Mavericks defense has been strong this season, and the team’s over/under record is 8-8-1.
• Atlanta’s defense has provided plenty of points, helping Over to cash in 12 of 17 games so far.

Mavericks vs. Hawks trend

These teams have traded points over the past two seasons. Dallas won and covered both head-to-head matchups last season, while Atlanta won both and went 1-1 ATS two years ago. Find more NBA betting trends for Mavericks vs. Hawks.

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